Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 8.15pm
Santa Clara 2 - 2 Nacional

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 8.15pm
Estoril 1 - 1 Famalicao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 36.56% and a draw has a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Nacional win is 2-1 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.54%).

Result

Nacional 36.56% (+0.03)
Draw 25.87%
Estoril Praia 37.6% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.28% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.8% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 67.2% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 18.72% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 81.28% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Nacional 26.79% (+0.01)
Draw 45.85% (-0.01)
Estoril Praia 27.36%

Team To Score First

Nacional 48.08% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.68% (+0.01)
Estoril Praia 45.24%

Corners

Over 8 58.97% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.42% (-0.02)
Over 9 47.02% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.95%
Under 9 41.03% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 35.77% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 64.23% (-0.01)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 39.37% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 60.63% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.4% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.6% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.52% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.48% (-0.04)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 72.11% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.89% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.49% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.51% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.27% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.73% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.19% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.81% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nacional 36.55%
Draw 25.87%
Estoril Praia 37.61%
Nacional
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.63%
Other @ 5.34% (+0.02)
Total : 36.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.68% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12%
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.01)
Total : 25.87%
Estoril Praia
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 4.01%
2-3 @ 2.89% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.01% (+0.01)
Total : 37.61%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Mar 15, 2026 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Chiheb Labidi 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas João 63' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ruan 63' yellowcard
  • André Sousa 79' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jr 79' yellowcard
  • goal Felix Bacher 9'
  • yellowcard Xeka 58'
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 58'
  • yellowcard Xeka 59'
  • yellowcard Rafik Guitane 59'
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 59'
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 60'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amaral 78'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 78'
Primeira Liga
Oct 26, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Paulinho 25' yellowcard
  • Dudu 45'+4' goal
  • Daniel Penha 52' goal
  • Isaac Aguiar Tomich 81' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Garcia 83' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Lacximicant 4'
  • yellowcard Felix Bacher 39'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Zanocelo 90'+2'
  • goal Felix Bacher 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Pedro Alvaro 5' yellowcard
  • Joao Carvalho 19' goal
  • Michel 52' yellowcard
  • redcard Ulisses 65'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 69'
Taca da Liga
Jul 25, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Bryan Rochez 36' goal
  • yellowcard 25'
  • goal Miguel Crespo 57'
  • goal Joao Carlos 90'
Primeira Liga
Apr 9, 2017 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlinhos 19' yellowcard
  • Lopes Mano 49' yellowcard
  • Dankler 71' yellowcard
  • Matheus Indio 93' yellowcard
  • goal Zizo 77'
  • yellowcard Tobias Figueiredo 88'
  • yellowcard Adriano Facchini 92'