Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2026 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Matheus Dias 51' yellowcard
  • Ze Vitor 68' goal
  • Léo Santos 77' goal
  • Filipe Soares 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Xeka 11'
  • redcard Xeka 32'
  • yellowcard Ismael Sierra 82'
  • yellowcard Ferro 85'

Nacional vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 8.15pm
Santa Clara 2 - 2 Nacional

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 8.15pm
Estoril 1 - 1 Famalicao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Nacional win was 2-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 36.42% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 25.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Estoril Praia 37.75% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.35% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.02% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 21.98% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 55.25% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 44.75% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 32.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.29% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Nacional 26.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 45.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Estoril Praia 27.41% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Nacional 48.06% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Estoril Praia 45.29% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 29.58% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 9 46.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 41.16% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 10.5 35.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 10.5 64.29% ▲ (+0.07)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 39.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 60.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 72.25% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 27.75% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 40.66% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 59.34% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 17.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.63% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.77% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Nacional 36.43%
Draw 25.84%
Estoril Praia 37.75%
Nacional
2-1 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 36.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.84%
Estoril Praia
1-2 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 37.75%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Mar 15, 2026 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Chiheb Labidi 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas João 63' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ruan 63' yellowcard
  • André Sousa 79' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jr 79' yellowcard
  • goal Felix Bacher 9'
  • yellowcard Xeka 58'
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 58'
  • yellowcard Xeka 59'
  • yellowcard Rafik Guitane 59'
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 59'
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 60'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amaral 78'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 78'
Primeira Liga
Oct 26, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Paulinho 25' yellowcard
  • Dudu 45'+4' goal
  • Daniel Penha 52' goal
  • Isaac Aguiar Tomich 81' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Garcia 83' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Lacximicant 4'
  • yellowcard Felix Bacher 39'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Zanocelo 90'+2'
  • goal Felix Bacher 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Pedro Alvaro 5' yellowcard
  • Joao Carvalho 19' goal
  • Michel 52' yellowcard
  • redcard Ulisses 65'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 69'
Taca da Liga
Jul 25, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Bryan Rochez 36' goal
  • yellowcard 25'
  • goal Miguel Crespo 57'
  • goal Joao Carlos 90'
Primeira Liga
Apr 9, 2017 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlinhos 19' yellowcard
  • Lopes Mano 49' yellowcard
  • Dankler 71' yellowcard
  • Matheus Indio 93' yellowcard
  • goal Zizo 77'
  • yellowcard Tobias Figueiredo 88'
  • yellowcard Adriano Facchini 92'