Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Estrela Amadora
Aug 8, 2026 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
Sporting Lisbon
  • Eddy Doué 52' yellowcard
  • Leandro Antonetti  72' goal
  • B. Souza 84' goal
  • B. Souza 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 46'
  • goal Fotis Ioannidis 59'
  • yellowcard Luis Suárez 67'
  • yellowcard Jesse Derry 90'+2'

Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 2 - 2 Estrela Amadora

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Gil Vicente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 23.52% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Estrela Amadora 15.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 23.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Sporting Lisbon 61% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 28.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 46.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 53.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.93%
Under 3.5 73.07%
Over 4.5 16.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.38% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 14.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 41.25%
Sporting Lisbon 44.26% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 28.22% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 8.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Sporting Lisbon 62.79% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 65.9% ▲ (+0.68)
Equal 8 10.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 23.54% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 9 54.4% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 9 11.5% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 34.1% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 10.5 42.96% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 10.5 57.04% ▼ (-0.43)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 16.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 83.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.1%
Under 3.5 98.9%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 81.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 52.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 47.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 26.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 73.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 11.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 15.49%
Draw 23.53%
Sporting Lisbon 61%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 5.73%
2-1 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 15.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.53%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 14.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-3 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 61%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Estrela Amadora
Apr 11, 2026 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
Sporting Lisbon
  • Jovane Cabral 62' yellowcard
  • Jorge Meireles 65' yellowcard
  • Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes 76' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Encada 76' yellowcard
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 77' yellowcard
  • Eddy Doué 77' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Encada 77' yellowcard
  • Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes 77' yellowcard
  • Eddy Doué 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 46'
  • goal Daniel Bragança 59'
  • yellowcard Geovany Quenda 66'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 67'
  • yellowcard Geovany Quenda 67'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 90'
  • yellowcard Rafael Nel 90'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rafael Nel 90'+6'
Primeira Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 30, 2025 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Estrela Amadora
  • Eduardo Quaresma 7' goal
  • Luis Suarez Charris 11' goal
  • Ivan Fresneda 25' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 27' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez Charris 54' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Estrela Amadora
Mar 29, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Sporting Lisbon
  • Guilherme Montoia 21' yellowcard
  • Manuel Keliano 24' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Montoia 34' redcard
  • Alan Ruiz 47' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Renato Pantalon 53' yellowcard
  • Ferro 55' yellowcard
  • Ruben Lima 87' redcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 52'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 66'
  • goal Geovany Tcherno Quenda 81'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 1, 2024 8.15pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Estrela Amadora
  • Viktor Gyokeres 19' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 31' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 42' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 70' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 85' goal
  • yellowcard Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 4'
  • goal Rodrigo Pinho 35'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 41'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 44'
  • yellowcard Ferro 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Estrela Amadora
Mar 29, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Sporting Lisbon
  • Leonel Bucca 16' goal
  • Leo Cordeiro 31' yellowcard
  • Aloisio Genezio 37' yellowcard
  • Regis N'do 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 22'
  • goal Paulinho 23'
  • goal Nuno Santos 40'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 5, 2023 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Estrela Amadora
  • Daniel Braganca 33' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 71' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 76' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 79' goal
  • goal Leo Jaba 50'
  • goal Kikas 55'
  • yellowcard Kikas 66'

Form Data

Estrela Amadora 4 - 2 Al-Nassr
Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 CF Os Belenenses
Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 Nacional
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 Naval 1º de Maio
Alverca 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Monaco
Sporting Lisbon 7 - 0 Strasbourg
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 1 Celtic
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Torreense
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Gil Vicente