Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 7.30pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 20, 2026 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 7 - 0 Strasbourg

Monaco

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 9.30am
Monaco 5 - 2 Saint-Priest

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw has a probability of 18.2% and a win for Monaco has a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.57%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.46%) , while for a Monaco win it is 1-2 (4.48%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 66.39% (-0.18)
Draw 18.2% (+0.19)
Monaco 15.36% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.76% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.43% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 11.57% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 72.02% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 27.98% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 49.91% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 50.09% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 35.7% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 64.3% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 48.12% (+0.08)
Draw 33.93% (-0.18)
Monaco 17.95% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 66.71% (-0.08)
No Goal 2.72% (+0.06)
Monaco 30.57% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 73.89% (+0.29)
Equal 8 9.22% (-0.05)
Under 8 16.89% (-0.24)
Over 9 63.08% (+0.30)
Equal 9 10.81% (-0.02)
Under 9 26.11% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 51.57% (+0.30)
Under 10.5 48.43% (-0.30)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 70.02% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 29.98% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 44.74% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 55.26% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 24.86%
Under 3.5 75.14%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 52.67% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 47.33% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25.65% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.35% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.41% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.59% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.91% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.09% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 66.38%
Draw 18.2%
Monaco 15.38%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 10.2% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.83%
3-0 @ 6.44% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 4.78% (-0.05)
Other @ 24.28% (-0.05)
Total : 66.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.46% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.72% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.58% (+0.05)
Total : 18.2%
Monaco
1-2 @ 4.48% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 2.53% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33% (-0.03)
Total : 15.38%