Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2026 3.30pm
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Alverca vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 6.00pm
Porto 2 - 0 Alverca

Estrela Amadora

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alverca win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw has a probability of 29.18% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win is 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.71%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 0-1 (8.54%).

Result

Alverca 47.24% (+0.04)
Draw 29.18% (-0.02)
Estrela Amadora 23.55% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.58% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.02% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 33.98% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 40.33% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 59.64% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 20.55% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 79.45% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 10.85% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 89.15% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Alverca 26.49% (-0.09)
Draw 54.52% (-0.01)
Estrela Amadora 19% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Alverca 51.79%
No Goal 11.41% (-0.03)
Estrela Amadora 36.8% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.61% (+0.15)
Equal 8 12.79% (+0.01)
Under 8 36.6% (-0.15)
Over 9 38.29% (+0.12)
Equal 9 12.32% (+0.02)
Under 9 49.39% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 27.48% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 72.52% (-0.10)

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 39.58% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 60.42% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.24% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.76% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 5.56% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.44% (-0.02)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 55.53% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 44.47% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 21.85% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 78.15% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.68% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.32% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.74% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.26% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Alverca 47.24%
Draw 29.18%
Estrela Amadora 23.55%
Alverca
1-0 @ 14% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 8.63% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.36% (+0.03)
Total : 47.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 11.41% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 29.18%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.54% (+0.02)
Total : 23.55%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Primeira Liga
Jan 31, 2026 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Vasco Silva Moreira 17' yellowcard
  • Vasco Moreira 17' yellowcard
  • Cédric Nuozzi 68' yellowcard
  • Mathis Clairicia 69' yellowcard
  • Cédric Nuozzi 69' yellowcard
  • Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 69' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 84' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Garcia 84' yellowcard
  • Fabrício Garcia 84' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Garcia 87' goal
  • Fabrício Garcia 87' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Monteiro Meireles 53'
  • yellowcard Eddy Doué 53'
  • yellowcard Jorge Meireles 53'
  • yellowcard Yahya Kalley 62'
  • yellowcard Yahya Kalley 63'
  • yellowcard Sydney van Hooijdonk 75'
  • yellowcard Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho 75'
  • yellowcard Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho 76'
  • yellowcard Sydney van Hooijdonk 76'
  • yellowcard Robinho 76'
  • yellowcard Sydney van Hooijdonk 81'
Primeira Liga
Aug 25, 2025 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT