Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
Hill Dickinson Stadium

Everton vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 2.00pm
Hull City 2 - 2 Everton
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Thierno Barry

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
João Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Everton win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 33.62% and a draw has a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.89%).

Result

Everton 41.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 24.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Chelsea 33.62% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.33% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.37% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 19.63% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 58.74% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 41.26% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 35.49% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 64.51% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 20.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 79.29% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Everton 33.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 42.47% ▼ (-0.11)
Chelsea 24.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Everton 53.23% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Chelsea 41.62% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 34.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 41.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 46.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 30.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 69.32% ▼ (-0.05)

Everton Goals

Over 1.5 45.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 70.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 29.65% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 38.7% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 61.3% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 16.2% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 83.8% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.4% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Everton 41.9%
Draw 24.48%
Chelsea 33.63%
Everton
2-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 41.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.48%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 33.63%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 31
Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hill Dickinson Stadium
  • Beto 33' goal
  • Beto 62' goal
  • Iliman Ndiaye 76' goal
  • Jarrad Branthwaite 78' yellowcard
  • Thierno Barry 81' yellowcard
  • Tim Iroegbunam 89' yellowcard
  • Merlin Röhl 89' yellowcard
  • Merlin Röhl 90' yellowcard
  • Tim Iroegbunam 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 46'
  • yellowcard Andrey Santos 57'
  • yellowcard Estêvão 70'
  • yellowcard Tosin Adarabioyo 78'
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 78'
Premier League
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Cole Palmer 21' goal
  • Malo Gusto 45' goal
  • Wesley Fofana 76' yellowcard
  • Wesley Fofana 77' yellowcard
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Nicolas Jackson 27' goal
Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Goodison Park
  • Iliman Ndiaye 40' yellowcard
  • Jordan Pickford 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ashley Young 57' yellowcard
  • Beto 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 82'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2024 8.00pm
6
0
HT : 4 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Cole Palmer 13' goal
  • Cole Palmer 18' goal
  • Cole Palmer 29' goal
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 44' goal
  • Cole Palmer 64' goal
  • Alfie Gilchrist 90' goal
  • yellowcard James Garner 28'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 36'
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 53'
  • yellowcard Michael Keane 66'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Goodison Park
  • Idrissa Gueye 15' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Doucoure 54' goal
  • Jarrad Branthwaite 59' yellowcard
  • Lewis Dobbin 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Cole Palmer 19'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 73'