Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Senegal win was 1-2 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.