World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 23, 2026 1.00am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT New York New Jersey Stadium
  • Marcus Pedersen 43' goal
  • Erling Haaland 48' goal
  • Erling Haaland 58' goal
  • goal Ismaïla Sarr 53'
  • goal Ismaïla Sarr 90'+3'

Norway vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 16, 2026 11.00pm
Iraq 1 - 4 Norway

Senegal

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 16, 2026 8.00pm
France 3 - 1 Senegal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Senegal win was 1-2 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Norway 43.67% (+1.88)
Draw 23.83% (-0.73)
Senegal 32.53% (-1.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.2% (+1.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.24% (+1.41)
Under 1.5 19.76% (-1.41)
Over 2.5 58.37% (+2.12)
Under 2.5 41.63% (-2.12)
Over 3.5 36.4% (+2.15)
Under 3.5 63.6% (-2.11)
Over 4.5 21.89% (+1.79)
Under 4.5 78.11% (-1.79)

Corners

Over 8 47.46% (+47.46)
Equal 8 11.35% (+11.35)
Under 8 41.19% (+41.19)
Over 9 36.77% (+36.78)
Equal 9 10.7% (+10.70)
Under 9 52.54% (+52.54)
Over 10.5 27.45% (+27.45)
Under 10.5 72.55% (+72.55)

Norway Goals

Over 1.5 46.51% (+2.47)
Under 1.5 53.49% (-2.47)
Over 2.5 22.04% (+2.06)
Under 2.5 77.96% (-2.07)
Over 3.5 8.56% (+1.15)
Under 3.5 91.44% (-1.15)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 68.44% (-0.71)
Under 0.5 31.56% (+0.70)
Over 1.5 37.31% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 62.69% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.86% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 84.14% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 5.68% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 94.32% (-0.27)

Score analysis

Norway 43.66%
Draw 23.84%
Senegal 32.53%
Norway
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 6.59% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.87% (+0.34)
3-0 @ 3.59% (+0.26)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.23)
Other @ 8.27% (+1.11)
Total : 43.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 6.12% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.49)
3-3 @ 1.63% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.03)
Total : 23.84%
Senegal
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.26)
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.61)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.38)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.92% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.15)
Other @ 5.39% (+0.23)
Total : 32.53%

Build-up

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