Nations League Gameweek 1
England
Sep 26, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Wembley Stadium
Spain
  • Anthony Gordon 36' goal
  • Harry Kane  40' goal
  • Nico O'Reilly 67' yellowcard
  • Marc Guéhi 69' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 81' yellowcard
  • goal Lamine Yamal 2'
  • goal Álex Baena 60'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal  74'

England vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Spain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Spain had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-2 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

England 39.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 23.34%
Spain 37.53% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.33% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 56.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 34.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 65.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 21.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 78.8% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

England 31.81%
Draw 43.31%
Spain 24.88%

Team To Score First

England 55.2% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Spain 39.27%

Corners

Over 8 48.78%
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 39.99%
Over 9 38.11%
Equal 9 10.68%
Under 9 51.22%
Over 10.5 28.72%
Under 10.5 71.28%

England Goals

Over 1.5 40.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 81.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.8% ▼ (-0.04)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 69.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 59.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

England 39.13%
Draw 23.35%
Spain 37.53%
England
1-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 39.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.35%
Spain
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-1 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.75%
Other @ 6.91%
Total : 37.53%

Head to Head

European Championship
Spain
Jul 14, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
England
  • Dani Olmo 31' yellowcard
  • Nico Williams 47' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 86' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 25'
  • yellowcard John Stones 53'
  • goal Cole Palmer 73'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+1'
Nations League
Spain
Oct 15, 2018 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT
England
  • Paco Alcacer 58' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 65' yellowcard
  • Jonny 75' yellowcard
  • Dani Ceballos 87' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ramos 90' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eric Dier 12'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 16'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 30'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 38'
  • yellowcard Harry Winks 65'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 71'
Nations League
England
Sep 8, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Spain
  • Marcus Rashford 11' goal
  • Jordan Henderson 18' yellowcard
  • Luke Shaw 42' yellowcard
  • John Stones 66' yellowcard
  • Danny Rose 94' yellowcard
  • goal Saul Niguez 13'
  • goal Rodrigo 32'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 84'
International Friendlies
England
Nov 15, 2016 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Spain
  • Adam Lallana 9' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 29' yellowcard
  • Theo Walcott 31' yellowcard
  • Danny Rose 45' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 48' goal
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 65'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 75'
  • goal Iago Aspas 89'
  • goal Isco 96'
International Friendlies
Spain
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
England
  • Mario Gaspar 72' goal
  • Santi Cazorla 84' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Hart 84'

Form Data

France 4 - 6 England
England 1 - 2 Argentina
Norway 1 - 2 England
Mexico 2 - 3 England
England 2 - 1 Congo DR
Panama 0 - 2 England
Spain 1 - 0 Argentina
France 0 - 2 Spain
Spain 2 - 1 Belgium
Portugal 0 - 1 Spain
Spain 3 - 0 Austria
Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain

Build-up

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