National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Imperial Fields
Havant & Waterlooville

Dulwich Hamlet
2 - 1
Havant & W'ville

Powell (84'), Porter (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fall (59')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dulwich Hamlet and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dulwich Hamlet

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 5-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in National League South

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 St Albans City
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 1-0 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Dulwich HamletDrawHavant & Waterlooville
28.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)47.57% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)45.8% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)68.11% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)29.94% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)66.05% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)19.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)51.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dulwich Hamlet 28.06%
    Havant & Waterlooville 47.57%
    Draw 24.37%
Dulwich HamletDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 28.06%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16%
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 47.57%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Havant & W'ville
5-1
Dulwich Hamlet
Roberts (5', 34' pen.), Fall (15'), Wright (88', 90+3')
Porter (31')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Dulwich Hamlet
0-1
Havant & W'ville
Duku (53')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Havant & W'ville
2-2
Dulwich Hamlet
Bell-Baggie (23', 45+1')
Mills (11'), Green (41' pen.)
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Dulwich Hamlet
0-0
Havant & W'ville
Nov 11, 2020 7.45pm
Havant & W'ville
3-1
Dulwich Hamlet
Magri (27'), Aghatise (43' og.), Robson (73')
Moore (20')