Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 42.86%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.