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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 26, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade Nungesser
Caen

Valenciennes
1 - 0
Caen

Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Deminguet (44')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Caen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawCaen
40.35%29.14%30.5%
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.06%62.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.58%82.42%
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43%30.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2%66.8%
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84%37.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06%73.94%
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 40.35%
    Caen 30.49%
    Draw 29.13%
ValenciennesDrawCaen
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.9%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 0.93%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 30.49%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2020 7pm
Oct 18, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 11
Caen
0-0
Valenciennes
Pi (41'), Deminguet (65')
Masson (35'), Brassier (40'), Ntim (67')
May 20, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auxerre321710559322761
2Angers32167947351255
3Saint-EtienneSt Etienne321661039251454
4Paris FCParis FC32131094135649
5Laval32131093735249
6Caen32146124239348
7Rodez AFRodez AF32121195346747
8GuingampGuingamp32121193831747
9PauPau32121195046447
10AmiensAmiens32101482830-244
11Grenoble321012103735242
12Ajaccio32119123135-442
13Bordeaux32119123843-541
14Bastia32118133541-640
15Annecy32109134041-139
16DunkerqueDunkerque32108143044-1438
17Troyes32811133643-735
18Concarneau3297163245-1334
19Quevilly32614124346-332
20Valenciennes32211191948-2917


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