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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 26, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade Nungesser
Caen

Valenciennes
1 - 0
Caen

Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Deminguet (44')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Caen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawCaen
40.35%29.14%30.5%
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.06%62.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.58%82.42%
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43%30.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2%66.8%
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84%37.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06%73.94%
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 40.35%
    Caen 30.49%
    Draw 29.13%
ValenciennesDrawCaen
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.9%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 0.93%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 30.49%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2020 7pm
Oct 18, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 11
Caen
0-0
Valenciennes
Pi (41'), Deminguet (65')
Masson (35'), Brassier (40'), Ntim (67')
May 20, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
12-6
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1594224111331
2Lorient1593328151330
3Metz1584324131128
4DunkerqueDunkerque159152320328
5Annecy157532318526
6Laval167452517825
7GuingampGuingamp168172622425
8AmiensAmiens167272021-123
9Bastia1641021614222
10PauPau166461819-122
11Rodez AFRodez AF165562926320
12Grenoble155371717018
13Troyes165381519-418
14Clermont164571419-517
15Caen154381721-415
16Ajaccio164391017-715
17Red Star154381327-1415
18Martigues162311834-269


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