Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 26, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade Nungesser
Caen

Valenciennes
1 - 0
Caen

Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Deminguet (44')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Caen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawCaen
40.35%29.14%30.5%
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.06%62.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.58%82.42%
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43%30.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2%66.8%
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84%37.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06%73.94%
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 40.35%
    Caen 30.49%
    Draw 29.13%
ValenciennesDrawCaen
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.9%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 0.93%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 30.49%