Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 4, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 0
Brest

Abergel (45')
Abergel (20'), Monconduit (78'), Hamel (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mounie (52'), Brassier (85')
Belkebla (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Brest
42.55%	28.14%	29.32%

Both teams to score 45.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.05%

59.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.8%

80.2%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13%

27.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52%

63.48%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.56%

36.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.77%

73.23%

Score Analysis

Lorient 42.54%

Brest 29.31%

Draw 28.12%

Lorient	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.54%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.89% Total : 29.31%

How you voted: Lorient vs Brest

Lorient

60.7%

Draw

28.6%

Brest

10.7%