Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Nimes |
| 60% | 22.04% | 17.96% |
| Both teams to score 51.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% | 46.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% | 68.88% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% | 15.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.32% | 43.68% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% | 39.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% | 76.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Nimes |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 6.23% 4-0 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.03% | 0-1 @ 5.55% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.96% |