Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
42.86% ( 0.23) | 25.09% ( -0.1) | 32.06% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.38% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.01% ( 0.38) | 46.99% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% ( 0.36) | 69.24% ( -0.36) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( 0.27) | 21.91% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( 0.41) | 55.17% ( -0.41) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( 0.1) | 27.81% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.6% ( 0.13) | 63.4% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |