Minnesota boss Heath has highlighted his side's final three home matches as crucial games in deciding their regular-season fate, but a clash with the Western Conference leaders is set to be very challenging.
St Louis will have a weight off their shoulders after officially clinching their place in the playoffs last time out, and we believe this extra freedom will help Carnell's men earn their first maximum of September.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
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