Hammarby

1 - 3

Malmo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-0 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.