Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
51.31% ( 0.05) | 23.29% ( -0.01) | 25.4% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% ( -0.01) | 43% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.59% ( -0.01) | 65.4% ( 0) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.17% ( 0.01) | 16.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.18% ( 0.03) | 46.81% ( -0.03) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.5% ( -0.04) | 30.5% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.28% ( -0.05) | 66.72% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 66 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 44 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 43 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 35 | 84 | -49 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |