Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.