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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 36.51% | 25.66% | 37.83% |
| Both teams to score 55.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% | 48.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% | 70.8% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% | 25.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% | 60.94% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% | 25.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% | 59.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.01% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.83% |