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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 45.61% | 27.5% | 26.88% |
| Both teams to score 46.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% | 58.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.65% | 79.35% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% | 25.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% | 60.71% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% | 37.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.41% | 74.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.11% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.88% |