Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 6

May 3, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Teddi Malcha Stadium

H. Jerusalem
3 - 1
Ironi Tiberias

Malmud (4'), Ariel Distelfeld (10'), Almagor (85')
Almagor (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Godly Michael (64')
Abu Akel (51'), Habiballa (59'), Baco (90+3')

Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Hapoel Jerusalem and Ironi Tiberias.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hapoel Jerusalem

All competitions

Last Game: H. Jerusalem 0-0 M. Petah Tikva
Saturday, April 26 at 6.30pm in Israeli Premier League

Goals
for

Ironi Tiberias

All competitions

Last Game: Ironi Tiberias 2-1 M. Bnei Raina
Saturday, April 26 at 6.30pm in Israeli Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Ironi Tiberias had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Ironi Tiberias win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Jerusalem	Draw	Ironi Tiberias
52.27% ( -0.04)	26.48% ( 0.03)	21.25% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.62% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.62% (

-0.06)

59.38% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.24% (

-0.05)

79.76% (

0.05)

Hapoel Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

-0.04)

22.89% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.37% (

-0.07)

56.63% (

0.07)

Ironi Tiberias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.56% (

-0.02)

43.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.34% (

-0.02)

79.66% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Jerusalem 52.26%

Ironi Tiberias 21.25%

Draw 26.47%

Hapoel Jerusalem	Draw	Ironi Tiberias
1-0 @ 14.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 52.26%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.25%