Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.