Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Maccabi Bnei Raina had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Maccabi Bnei Raina win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.