Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.