Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Hapoel Haifa win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.