Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Maccabi Bnei Raina had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Maccabi Bnei Raina win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.