Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Bnei Raina win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Bnei Raina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.