Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.