Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.29%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.