Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.