Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maccabi Tel Aviv in this match.