Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.