Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Bnei Raina win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Bnei Raina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Bnei Raina would win this match.