Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for Ironi Kiryat Shmona had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.