Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ironi Kiryat Shmona would win this match.