Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ironi Kiryat Shmona would win this match.