Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ironi Kiryat Shmona had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.