Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Maccabi Netanya win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva in this match.