Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.