Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Hadera win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.