Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva in this match.