Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Haifa would win this match.