Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Hapoel Haifa win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.