Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Haifa would win this match.