Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 1-0 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.