Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Netanya would win this match.