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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Earlsmead Stadium

Harrow Borough
1 - 1
Ashford United

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Harrow Borough and Ashford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrow Borough

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Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Harrow Borough
Saturday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Ashford United

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Last Game: Ashford United 3-0 Egham Town
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrow Borough win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Ashford United had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrow Borough win was 2-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.4%) and 3-2 (4.9%). The likeliest Ashford United win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Harrow BoroughDrawAshford United
43.6% (1.29 1.29)21.07% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)35.33% (-1.198 -1.2)
Both teams to score 72.64% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.71% (0.19999999999999 0.2)26.29% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.42% (0.254 0.25)46.58% (-0.253 -0.25)
Harrow Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (0.51299999999999 0.51)13.21% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.05% (1.03 1.03)39.95% (-1.029 -1.03)
Ashford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.411 -0.41)16.31% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.12% (-0.752 -0.75)45.88% (0.751 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Harrow Borough 43.6%
    Ashford United 35.33%
    Draw 21.07%
Harrow BoroughDrawAshford United
2-1 @ 8% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.162 0.16)
3-2 @ 4.9% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 4.36% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.093 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.5% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
5-2 @ 1% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 43.6%
1-1 @ 7.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 7.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-1 @ 3.91% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-4 @ 1.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 35.33%