Euro 2020

European Championship | Round of 16

Jun 27, 2021 at 5pm UK

Puskás Aréna

Netherlands
0 - 2
Czech Republic

Dumfries (46'), de Jong (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Holes (68'), Schick (80')
Coufal (56')

Reaction

Netherlands centre-back Matthijs de Ligt pictured on June 27, 2021

Matthijs de Ligt accepts blame for Netherlands defeat

The Juventus defender was sent off and the Czech Republic went on to win 2-0 in Budapest and reach the Euro 2020 quarter-finals.

Jun 27, 20:37

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Czech Republic
56.86%	21.87%	21.27%

Both teams to score 57.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.92%

41.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53%

63.47%

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.73%

14.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.94%

42.06%

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01%

32.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42%

69.58%

Score Analysis

Netherlands 56.86%

Czech Republic 21.27%

Draw 21.87%

Netherlands	Draw	Czech Republic
2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 6.42% 3-0 @ 5.79% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 3.13% 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.1% Total : 56.86%	1-1 @ 10.16% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 5.64% 0-1 @ 5.22% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.34% Total : 21.27%