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Georgia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Playoff Semi-Finals Route A
Oct 8, 2020 at 5pm UK
 
Belarus national football team

Georgia
1 - 0
Belarus

Okriashvili (7' pen.)
Kvekveskiri (38'), Kankava (52'), Qazaishvili (69'), Kvilitaia (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Naumov (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro qualifying Path D playoff semi-final between Georgia and Belarus, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
GeorgiaDrawBelarus
48.47%23.96%27.57%
Both teams to score 57.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69%44.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32%66.68%
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6%18.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45%49.55%
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47%29.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45%65.55%
Score Analysis
    Georgia 48.47%
    Belarus 27.57%
    Draw 23.96%
GeorgiaDrawBelarus
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-1 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 27.57%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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