UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 13, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion Kraj Bistrice

Sutjeska Niksic
1 - 0
Cosmos

(Sutjeska Niksic win 2-1 on aggregate)

Markovic (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Sutjeska Niksic and Cosmos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutjeska Niksic

Last Game: KI 1-0 Sutjeska Niksic
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutjeska Niksic win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Cosmos had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutjeska Niksic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Cosmos win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutjeska Niksic in this match.

Result
Sutjeska Niksic	Draw	Cosmos
47.49% ( 0.15)	25.24% ( 0.04)	27.27% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 53.06% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.96% (

-0.28)

50.04% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.98% (

-0.25)

72.02% (

0.25)

Sutjeska Niksic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.91% (

-0.05)

21.09% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.08% (

-0.07)

53.92% (

0.08)

Cosmos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

-0.3)

32.76% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69% (

-0.33)

69.32% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Sutjeska Niksic 47.49%

Cosmos 27.27%

Draw 25.24%

Sutjeska Niksic	Draw	Cosmos
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.49%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.27%