Bristol Rovers
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
1 - 3
West Ham U21s

Finley (24')
Taylor (68'), Bogarde (90+8'), Taylor (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marshall (70' pen., 90+3'), Earthy (78')
Robinson (90+6')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Bristol Rovers and West Ham United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham U21s 3-1 Everton U21s
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a West Ham United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawWest Ham United Under-21s
63.63% (0.536 0.54)19.09% (-0.133 -0.13)17.29% (-0.4 -0.4)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.86% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)34.15% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)56.03% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (0.10899999999999 0.11)10.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.45% (0.248 0.25)33.55% (-0.245 -0.25)
West Ham United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)32.92% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-0.543 -0.54)69.5% (0.545 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 63.63%
    West Ham United Under-21s 17.29%
    Draw 19.09%
Bristol RoversDrawWest Ham United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.119 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.39% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.79% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.73% (0.047 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 63.63%
1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.37% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.09%
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 17.29%