Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 21, 2026 5.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Nico Paz 2' goal
  • Anastasios Douvikas 49' goal
  • Nico Paz 57' goal
  • Jacobo Ramón 76' goal
  • Marc Oliver Kempf 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Santos 25'
  • yellowcard Carlos Baleba 50'
  • yellowcard Shea Lacey 86'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 90'+1'

Como vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Manchester United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%).

Result

Como 44.55% ▼ (-0.21)
Draw 25.49% ▲ (+0.10)
Manchester United 29.99% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.62% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 26.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 49.99% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 50.01% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 28.8% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 71.2% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 17.08% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 82.92% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Como 38.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 39.02% ▼ (-0.16)
Manchester United 22.41% ▲ (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Como 56.08% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.74% ▲ (+0.07)
Manchester United 36.18% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 43.03% ▼ (-0.30)
Equal 8 11.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 45.5% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 9 32.6% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 10.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 56.97% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 10.5 23.84% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 10.5 76.16% ▲ (+0.18)

Como Goals

Over 1.5 42.88% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 57.12% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 20.02% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 79.98% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 8.29% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 91.71% ▲ (+0.19)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 63.46% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 36.54% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 30.11% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 69.89% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 10.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 89.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Como 44.55%
Draw 25.49%
Manchester United 29.99%
Como
1-0 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 44.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.49%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 29.99%

Build-up

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